Friday, 22 March 2013

FFL Draft and the odds for this year


A new year and a chance for a new coach to win the ultimate prize (please for the love of god!).  So after careful calculation, hours of statistical deliberations and a whole lot of guess work, here is my take on the season ahead.

Never Nevers:  Wendy did very well in the draft, perhaps being away for the draft is a key to her success.  Big Cox was a great pick up and she had Dependles as well!  A very good chance for ultimate success.   5 to 1

WAS: We heard the term “dual premiership player” far too often, so god help us all if we have to listen to “triple premierships”  WAS heart doesn’t seem in it this year, with his anti AFL speeches.  WAS may be against supplements, but we in the FFL are against tall poppies.  Time to cut him down and stick him in the weed whacker.  10 -1

Principled Magpies:  As was said in the draft, Tom was choosing very well, until he turned up.  Mystery surrounds why he was so late.  I think he was hunting down all those who haven’t done the ILPs.  It certainly wasn’t collecting statistics, he come more unprepared than Gold Coast Suns.  Too many strange choices, Didak? Shows Tom certainly was not on performance enhancing drugs of any sort.   15-1

Rugby Recruits: The new boy in town didn’t do as miserably as I initially predicted. Some decent picks, including Garlett and Enright very late in the rounds. A huge disappointment that he didn’t choose the only rugby player Karmichael Hunt, just for the giggles.  However his chance of winning the whole thing would result in more than just giggles.    50-1

Bulawayo Rhinos: The thought of Grant winning the FFL is just mind numbing to all.  “Really you won the footy tippng last year? I haven’t heard that before” will never be said by anyone who knows Grant.  There are too many rule changes this year and you can see the three week final series is already making this fuddy duddy anxious.   7-1

The Colemen:  The Colemen coach kindly offered his statistics to share at the FFL table.  It may have been a ploy though, he had never done well using his stats, so maybe he was trying to bring other coaches down with him.  The list is ok, but I will rank him badly because it really bugs him  40-1

Black Panthers: The husband and wife team are back and so are the Panther’s premiership chances.  Despite a little bit of controversy during the selection process, one thing that isn’t controversial – finalist for sure!  6-1

Gurren:  Another new coach, with the added luck of having number 1 pick, this is a coach to watch. From the look of his team, he has ignored all the advice Phil Lowry gave him, and that’s a good thing because Phil never did well.  10-1

The Boners: The Boners have done a very noble thing. Giving the aging population he has decided to draft every single aging player, has been or never was (I am looking at you Cloke). It may be noble but injury and brill cream will stand in his way of winning. Horlicks is not performance enhancing.  40-1

Aardvarks: Daniel goes to a lot of effort in FFL. He had a colour coded excel sheet.   He said he was worried about sharing his information with me.  He needn’t worry, I am mathematically challenged and his methods are too hard to follow, and anything that spits out Danyle Pearce as being a player to pick, is not the system I am prepared to use.  Still he has a good chance for FFL glory    3-1

The Games Committee are at it again

The Commissioner has had a hard off season. Supplement intake has set shock waves in the FFL. We almost lost a coach, the premiership coach, because of this dark presence. WAS even changed his team name to We're Against Supplements. Funnily enough though while WAS is totally against supplements, the coach doesn't mind performance enhancing drugs. "How else do you become a dual premiership coach?" he was heard saying. Matt is kicking himself when he was told that alcohol was not performance enhancing. (but after Graduation-gate he should have already realized that).  Dan also had to be told that BBQ Shapes do not in any way help performance, as can be evidenced by a poor showing in so many years of FFL. 

To divert attention away from the controversies, the Commissioner has decided to shake up the draw a little.  All teams, for the first time ever, will play each other twice.  In order to accommodate this, there will be three mega rounds, which each team will have to play two separate games.  The Commissioner understands that player fatigue may be an issue, but no one works harder than her in FFL, so the whiney little players better shut up and play. 

So let the games begin!